Mercury General Corporation Announces Third Quarter Results and Increases Quarterly Dividend

Oct 29, 2018

LOS ANGELES, Oct. 29, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Mercury General Corporation (NYSE: MCY) reported today for the third quarter of 2018:

Consolidated Highlights



Three Months Ended
September 30,


Change


Nine Months Ended
September 30,


Change


2018


2017


$


%


2018


2017


$


%

(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)












Net premiums earned

$

858,135



$

801,205



$

56,930



7.1



$

2,500,178



$

2,388,641



$

111,537



4.7


Net premiums written (1) (2)

$

905,339



$

827,419



$

77,920



9.4



$

2,645,024



$

2,436,663



$

208,361



8.6


















Net income

$

58,578



$

46,485



$

12,093



26.0



$

76,151



$

125,098



$

(48,947)



(39.1)


Net income per diluted share

$

1.06



$

0.84



$

0.22



26.2



$

1.38



$

2.26



$

(0.88)



(38.9)


















Operating income (1)

$

61,667



$

33,018



$

28,649



86.8



$

114,351



$

81,981



$

32,370



39.5


Operating income per diluted share (1)

$

1.11



$

0.60



$

0.51



85.0



$

2.07



$

1.48



$

0.59



39.9


Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance (3)

$

13,000



$

19,000



$

(6,000)



(31.6)



$

24,000



$

59,000



$

(35,000)



(59.3)


Combined ratio (4)

95.6

%


99.3

%




(3.7) pts


98.7

%


100.1

%




(1.4) pts



(1) 

These measures are not based on U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"), are defined in "Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures" and are reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in "Supplemental Schedules."

(2) 

The Company, which predominantly offers six-month personal automobile insurance policies, reintroduced twelve-month personal automobile policies for new business in its largest insurance subsidiary, Mercury Insurance Company ("MIC"), in March 2018. Twelve-month policies are generally sold for twice the price of six-month policies. The Company estimates that the total net premiums written for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 increased by approximately $20 million and $43 million, respectively, due to the reintroduction of twelve-month policies in MIC, compared to what the total would have been without the reintroduction. There was no material impact to net premiums earned resulting from the reintroduction of twelve-month policies.

(3) 

Catastrophe losses before reinsurance benefits totaled approximately $26 million and $34 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018, respectively. The majority of the 2018 catastrophe losses were caused by the Carr Wildfire in Northern California, which resulted in $21 million of gross losses ($10 million of net losses after reinsurance benefits). Weather-related catastrophes across several states made up the remainder of the 2018 catastrophe losses. The 2017 catastrophe losses were primarily due to severe rainstorms in California, the impact of Hurricane Harvey in Texas and Hurricane Irma in Florida and Georgia, and storms and tornadoes in Oklahoma and Texas. There were no reinsurance benefits used for catastrophe losses incurred during the first nine months of 2017.

(4) 

The Company experienced unfavorable development of approximately $6 million and $4 million on prior accident years' loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for the three months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017, respectively, and unfavorable development of approximately $70 million and $18 million on prior accident years' loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017, respectively. The year-to-date unfavorable development in 2018 was primarily attributable to higher than estimated California automobile losses resulting from severity in excess of expectations for bodily injury claims as well as higher than estimated defense and cost containment expenses in the California automobile line of insurance business, while the year-to-date unfavorable development in 2017 was primarily attributable to higher than estimated California automobile and property losses.

 

Investment Results






Three Months Ended September 30,


Nine Months Ended September 30,


2018


2017


2018


2017

(000's except average annual yield)


Average invested assets at cost (1)

$

3,809,689



$

3,630,223



$

3,722,365



$

3,563,855


Net investment income (2)








     Before income taxes

$

38,159



$

30,988



$

104,455



$

94,058


     After income taxes

$

33,522



$

27,071



$

92,867



$

82,381


Average annual yield on investments - after income taxes (2)

3.5

%


3.0

%


3.3

%


3.1

%



(1) 

Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; equities and other short-term investments at cost. Average invested assets at cost are based on the monthly amortized cost of the invested assets for each period.

(2) 

The higher net investment income before and after income taxes for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 compared to the corresponding periods in 2017 resulted largely from higher average invested assets combined with rising market interest rates. Average annual yield on investments after income taxes for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 increased compared to the corresponding periods in 2017, primarily due to yield increases in short-term and floating-rate securities resulting from rising market interest rates. Net investment income and average annual yield on investments after income taxes for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 also benefited modestly from the lower tax rate effective January 1, 2018 applied to taxable investment income.

The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.6275 per share. The dividend will be paid on December 27, 2018 to shareholders of record on December 13, 2018.

Mercury General Corporation and its subsidiaries are a multiple line insurance organization offering predominantly personal automobile and homeowners insurance through a network of independent producers in many states. For more information, visit the Company's website at www.mercuryinsurance.com. The Company will be hosting a conference call and webcast today at 10:00 A.M. Pacific time (1:00 P.M. Eastern time) where management will discuss results and address questions. The teleconference and webcast can be accessed by calling (877) 807-1888 (USA), (706) 679-3827 (International) or by visiting www.mercuryinsurance.com. A replay of the call will be available beginning at 1:30 P.M. Pacific time and running through November 5, 2018. The replay telephone numbers are (855) 859-2056 (USA) or (404) 537-3406 (International). The conference ID# is 97643737. The replay will also be available on the Company's website shortly following the call.

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for certain forward-looking statements. Certain statements contained in this report are forward-looking statements based on the Company's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those anticipated by the Company. Actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the control of the Company) and are subject to change based upon various factors, including but not limited to the following risks and uncertainties: changes in the demand for the Company's insurance products, inflation and general economic conditions, including general market risks associated with the Company's investment portfolio; the accuracy and adequacy of the Company's pricing methodologies; catastrophes in the markets served by the Company; uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; the possibility that actual loss experience may vary adversely from the actuarial estimates made to determine the Company's loss reserves in general; the Company's ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in states where the Company operates; legislation adverse to the automobile insurance industry or business generally that may be enacted in the states where the Company operates; the Company's success in managing its business in non-California states; the presence of competitors with greater financial resources and the impact of competitive pricing and marketing efforts; the ability of the Company to successfully manage its claims organization outside of California; the Company's ability to successfully allocate the resources used in the states with reduced or exited operations to its operations in other states; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and legal, cybersecurity, regulatory and litigation risks. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of the foregoing risks and uncertainties, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 8, 2018.

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUMMARY OF OPERATING RESULTS
(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)
(unaudited)










Three Months Ended September 30,


Nine Months Ended September 30,


2018


2017


2018


2017

Revenues:








     Net premiums earned

$

858,135



$

801,205



$

2,500,178



$

2,388,641


     Net investment income

38,159



30,988



104,455



94,058


     Net realized investment (losses) gains

(3,910)



20,718



(48,355)



66,334


     Other

2,427



5,446



7,108



9,675


          Total revenues

894,811



858,357



2,563,386



2,558,708


Expenses:








     Losses and loss adjustment expenses

614,069



595,290



1,851,850



1,790,550


     Policy acquisition costs

142,295



136,290



424,799



416,728


     Other operating expenses

63,904



64,339



190,125



182,959


     Interest

4,257



4,191



12,779



10,873


          Total expenses

824,525



800,110



2,479,553



2,401,110


Income before income taxes

70,286



58,247



83,833



157,598


     Income tax expense

11,708



11,762



7,682



32,500


                    Net income

$

58,578



$

46,485



$

76,151



$

125,098










Basic average shares outstanding

55,337



55,324



55,334



55,311


Diluted average shares outstanding

55,341



55,334



55,337



55,323










Basic Per Share Data








Net income

$

1.06



$

0.84



$

1.38



$

2.26


Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax

$

(0.05)



$

0.24



$

(0.69)



$

0.78










Diluted Per Share Data








Net income

$

1.06



$

0.84



$

1.38



$

2.26


Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax

$

(0.05)



$

0.24



$

(0.69)



$

0.78










Operating Ratios-GAAP Basis








Loss ratio

71.6

%


74.3

%


74.1

%


75.0

%

Expense ratio

24.0

%


25.0

%


24.6

%


25.1

%

Combined ratio

95.6

%


99.3

%


98.7

%


100.1

%

 

MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS AND OTHER INFORMATION

(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)






September 30, 2018


December 31, 2017


(unaudited)



ASSETS




Investments, at fair value:




     Fixed maturity securities (amortized cost $2,951,571; $2,823,230)

$

2,952,871



$

2,892,777


     Equity securities (cost $619,444; $474,197)

688,387



537,240


     Short-term investments (cost $263,037; $302,693)

262,806



302,711


          Total investments

3,904,064



3,732,728


Cash

261,680



291,413


Receivables:




     Premiums

558,004



474,060


     Accrued investment income

48,021



39,368


     Other

6,077



6,658


          Total receivables

612,102



520,086


Reinsurance recoverables

53,419



56,349


Deferred policy acquisition costs

216,480



198,151


Fixed assets, net

149,719



145,223


Current income taxes

27,012



61,257


Goodwill

42,796



42,796


Other intangible assets, net

16,901



20,728


Other assets

28,864



32,592


          Total assets

$

5,313,037



$

5,101,323






LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY




Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

$

1,580,054



$

1,510,613


Unearned premiums

1,240,776



1,101,927


Notes payable (a)

371,635



371,335


Accounts payable and accrued expenses

138,643



108,252


Deferred income taxes

7,146



22,932


Other liabilities

240,553



224,877


Shareholders' equity

1,734,230



1,761,387


          Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$

5,313,037



$

5,101,323






OTHER INFORMATION




Common stock shares outstanding

55,340



55,332


Book value per share

$

31.34



$

31.83


Statutory surplus (b)

$1.59 billion


$1.59 billion

Net premiums written to surplus ratio (b)

2.15



2.02


Debt to total capital ratio (c)

17.8

%


17.6

%

Portfolio duration (including all short-term instruments) (b) (d)

4.1 years


4.0 years

Policies-in-force (company-wide "PIF") (b)




     Personal Auto PIF

1,150



1,121


     Homeowners PIF

588



553


     Commercial Auto PIF

38



40




(a)

$375 million aggregate face value of 4.40% senior notes due 2027 issued in March 2017 through a public offering, net of unamortized discount and debt issuance costs.

(b)

Unaudited.

(c)

Debt to Debt plus Shareholders' Equity (Debt at face value).

(d)

Modified durations reflecting anticipated early calls.

 

SUPPLEMENTAL SCHEDULES

(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)
(unaudited)


Three Months Ended September 30,


Nine Months Ended September 30,


2018


2017


2018


2017









Reconciliations of Comparable GAAP Measures to Operating Measures (a)









Net premiums earned

$

858,135



$

801,205



$

2,500,178



$

2,388,641


Change in net unearned premiums

47,204



26,214



144,846



48,022


Net premiums written

$

905,339



$

827,419



$

2,645,024



$

2,436,663










Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses

$

614,069



$

595,290



$

1,851,850



$

1,790,550


Change in net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

(26,932)



(46,129)



(83,414)



(84,279)


Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses

$

587,137



$

549,161



$

1,768,436



$

1,706,271










Net income

$

58,578



$

46,485



$

76,151



$

125,098


Less: Net realized investment (losses) gains

(3,910)



20,718



(48,355)



66,334


         Tax on net realized investment (losses) gains (b)

(821)



7,251



(10,155)



23,217


             Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax

(3,089)



13,467



(38,200)



43,117


Operating income

$

61,667



$

33,018



$

114,351



$

81,981










Per diluted share:








Net income

$

1.06



$

0.84



$

1.38



$

2.26


Less: Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax

(0.05)



0.24



(0.69)



0.78


Operating income

$

1.11



$

0.60



$

2.07



$

1.48










Combined ratio





98.7

%


100.1

%

Effect of estimated prior periods' loss development





(2.8)

%


(0.8)

%

Combined ratio-accident period basis





95.9

%


99.3

%



(a) 

See "Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures" on page 7. 

(b) 

Federal statutory rate of 21% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 35% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2017.

Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures

The Company has presented information within this document containing operating measures which in management's opinion provide investors with useful, industry specific information to help them evaluate, and perform meaningful comparisons of, the Company's performance, but that may not be presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are not intended to replace, and should be read in conjunction with, the GAAP financial results.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income. Operating income is net income excluding realized investment gains and losses, net of tax. Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income to assess the Company's performance. Management uses operating income as an important measure to evaluate the results of the Company's insurance business. Management believes that operating income provides investors with a valuable measure of the Company's ongoing performance as it reveals trends in the Company's insurance business that may be obscured by the effect of net realized investment gains and losses. Realized investment gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by external economic developments such as capital market conditions. Accordingly, operating income highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of the Company's core insurance business. Operating income, which is provided as supplemental information and should not be considered as a substitute for net income, does not reflect the overall profitability of the Company's business. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of net income to operating income.

Net premiums earned, the most directly comparable GAAP measure to net premiums written, represents the portion of premiums written that is recognized as revenue in the financial statements for the periods presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. Net premiums written is a statutory financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period less any applicable reinsurance.  Net premiums written is designed to determine production levels and is meant as supplemental information and not intended to replace net premiums earned. Such information should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of net premiums earned to net premiums written.

Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses is the most directly comparable GAAP measure to paid losses and loss adjustment expenses. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses excludes the effects of changes in the loss reserve accounts. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses is provided as supplemental information and is not intended to replace incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to paid losses and loss adjustment expenses.

Combined ratio is the most directly comparable measure to combined ratio-accident period basis. Combined ratio-accident period basis is computed as the difference between two GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio and prior accident periods' loss development ratio. Management believes that combined ratio-accident period basis is useful to investors and it is used to reveal the trends in the Company's results of operations that may be obscured by development on prior accident periods' loss reserves. Combined ratio-accident period basis is meant as supplemental information and is not intended to replace the GAAP combined ratio. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of GAAP combined ratio to combined ratio-accident period basis.

Mercury General Corporation logo (PRNewsFoto/Mercury General Corporation) (PRNewsFoto/Mercury General Corporation)

 

SOURCE Mercury General Corporation

For further information: Theodore Stalick, SVP/CFO, (323) 937-1060, www.mercuryinsurance.com


print email rss